Regional Roadmap · Pilot Region 01 of 08

Los Angeles: A Roadmap to End Homelessness

A ten-year plan (2027–2036) for Los Angeles County built on one question: how many homes, with rent help attached, does it take to house everyone who is homeless, and keep new people from losing their homes? Every strategy here is borrowed from a program that is already working somewhere today.

Housing FirstProven models onlyPreventionWorking draft · Nov 2026
73,040people homeless in LA County on one night in January 2026
49,002of them unsheltered: on the street, in tents, cars or RVs
65,000homes with rent help needed over 10 years to end homelessness
2033target year for ending chronic homelessness
Executive summary

Ending homelessness in Los Angeles comes down to one number: 65,000 homes

People become homeless in Los Angeles faster than the region rehouses them. The fix is to house people faster than they become homeless, which takes homes they can afford, rent help that does not run out, and prevention that keeps people from losing their homes in the first place.

The problem

About 54,000 newly homeless people sought help in a year in which the system housed 23,532. When LA cut Time-Limited Subsidies nearly in half, 5,000 fewer people got housed and the 2026 count went back up.[1]

The fix

House more people: 65,000 homes with rent help over ten years, 25,000 of them supportive housing for people who are chronically homeless. Stop new homelessness: cut the number of people becoming homeless by 30%.

Why we think it works

Every piece is copied from a working program: Houston (homelessness down more than 60% since 2011), LA County’s rent-subsidy pool (92% still housed after one year) and Denver’s randomized trial (77% still housed after three years).[17][18][19]

The plan in one sentence: lease existing apartments now, convert buildings next and build last, attach long-term rent help to every home, and fund prevention so the people we house are not replaced by newly homeless people.

65,000
Homes with rent help
The total needed by 2036 to house everyone who is homeless
25,000
of them supportive homes
For chronically homeless adults, with voluntary services
−30%
Newly homeless
Fewer people becoming homeless each year by 2031
≈$17B
Building cost over 10 years
For the 40,000 homes that must be bought or built; the other 25,000 are leased

All targets on this page are planning targets for the region as a whole, not achievements or commitments of any single organization. Dollar figures are estimates for planning and must be validated with a certified budget, an architect and a contractor before use in an application.

Section 1 · Who is homeless

Who is homeless in Los Angeles County

LA County is home to about one in ten homeless people in the United States and the country’s largest unsheltered population. Two of every three homeless Angelenos sleep outside.

73,040
LA County total, 2026
Up 1.2% from 72,195 in 2025; LAHSA says the change is within the margin of error[1]
45,194
City of Los Angeles, 2026
Up 3.4%; about 29,100 unsheltered and 16,000 in shelters[1]
49,002
Unsheltered countywide
Up 3.3% in 2026; Metro LA up about 20%, Antelope Valley down 37%[1]
28,201
Chronically homeless adults
HUD 2024 count for the LA area; LA reported a drop of about 22% from 2023 to 2025[4][3]

Who they are

LA City & County, HUD 2024 Point-in-Time count, people[4]

Total homeless
71,201
Unsheltered
49,509
Chronically homeless adults
28,201
In shelters
21,692
People in families
10,707
Veterans
2,991
Youth on their own (under 25)
2,406

2026 updates: family members fell 14% (11,207 → 9,638) and veterans fell from 3,050 to 2,257. LAHSA warns the family drop may reflect fewer family services rather than lower need.[1]

How LA compares

Los Angeles: share unsheltered
69.5%
New York City: share unsheltered
3%
United States: share unsheltered
35.5%

HUD 2024. New York’s right-to-shelter law keeps 97% of its homeless residents indoors. LA’s problem is mostly people living outside long-term, which is why supportive housing is at the center of this roadmap.[4]

The long view

  • The City’s homeless population is up 59% since 2016.[1]
  • Two years of decline (2024, 2025), then a rise in 2026 after rent-help cuts.[2]
  • Shelter beds roughly doubled, from about 34,500 (2016) to 69,600 (2025). Shelter is not the bottleneck; permanent homes are.[1]

Who needs what: the 65,000 homes

GroupWhat they needType of homeHomes by 2036
Chronically homeless adults (disabled, homeless a year or more)A permanent home plus voluntary servicesSupportive housing25,000
Other single adultsA home with rent capped at 30% of incomeLeased apartment with rent help, studios, shared housing22,000
Families with children2–3 bedroom homes plus rent helpLeased or affordable family apartments10,000
Older adults (55+)Accessible homes on fixed incomesSenior affordable apartments6,000
Young adults (18–24)Studios plus school and job supportYouth supportive housing2,000
Total65,000

How we got 65,000: today’s 73,040 people, minus those expected to get back on their feet with short-term help, plus ten years of people who will still become homeless after prevention. These are planning estimates to refine with LAHSA’s name-by-name data.

Section 2 · Why housing is the answer

People in, people out

The count only falls when more people move into homes than become homeless. Today Los Angeles is losing that race.

BECOMING HOMELESS ≈54,000 people seeking help / year HOMELESS ON ONE NIGHT 73,040 LA County · Jan 2026 MOVING INTO HOMES 23,532 people housed / year Many people also find housing on their own, which is why the count did not grow by the full difference.

The 54,000 figure applies LAHSA’s reported ratio (about 2.3 newly homeless people seeking help for every person housed) to 23,532 housing placements. Placements fell from about 28,600 (2024) to 23,532 (2025).[1]

Lesson from 2026: rent help is housing

Funding for Time-Limited Subsidies was cut from $240M (2024-25) to $123M (2025-26). More than 3,000 households were set to lose rent help, 5,000 fewer people moved into homes, and shelters backed up because nobody could move out.[1][2]

Roadmap rule: a home only counts toward this plan if it has rent help or operating money locked in for at least 15 years.

Housing costs less than homelessness

Public cost while homeless
$2,897/mo
Public cost in supportive housing
$605/mo

Economic Roundtable, Where We Sleep: a study of 10,193 people in LA County (2009 dollars, so today’s costs are higher). Emergency rooms, jails and shelters cost more than a home.[16]

Why LA’s spending hasn’t solved it yet: the City’s homelessness budget grew from about $139M (2016) to nearly $1B (2026), but much of it went to shelters and outreach, which help but don’t add permanent homes. About 41% of people in the City’s Inside Safe program have returned to homelessness.[1] This roadmap puts the money into permanent homes with long-term rent help.

Section 3 · Goals

Four goals, one decade

Groups are housed in order, starting with the ones where the tools already exist. This is the “functional zero” method used by Houston and the national Built for Zero network: homelessness becomes rare, brief and one-time, and more people are housed each month than become homeless.

Goal 1 · by 2029

End veteran homelessness

2,257 veterans were homeless in 2026, down from 3,050. Federal VA vouchers already exist for them; the job is to house veterans faster than new ones become homeless.[1]

Goal 2 · by 2033

End chronic homelessness

Add 25,000 supportive homes (about 2,500 a year). LA added about 3,000 in 2024, so the pace is achievable if the rent help is kept steady for ten years.[3]

Goal 3 · by 2031

30% fewer people becoming homeless

Emergency rent help, free eviction defense and “no discharge to the street” from hospitals and jails, so about 16,000 fewer people a year lose their homes. LA County’s early prevention results are promising.[20]

Goal 4 · by 2036

Homelessness rare, brief, one-time

All 65,000 homes in place. Anyone who becomes homeless is offered a home within 30 days, and nobody has to sleep outside for lack of a place to go.

Homes added each year (countywide, all organizations)

YearSupportive homesOther homes with rent helpTotal that yearRunning totalMilestone
20271,8002,5004,3004,300Start leasing apartments; first pilots in design
20282,2003,0005,2009,500First small modular buildings open
20292,5003,5006,00015,500Veteran homelessness ended
20302,6004,0006,60022,100Multi-year factory contract
20312,7004,0006,70028,80030% fewer people becoming homeless
20322,7004,5007,20036,000
20332,7004,5007,20043,200Chronic homelessness ended
20342,6004,5007,10050,300No family with children sleeps outside
20352,6004,5007,10057,400
20362,6005,0007,60065,000Homelessness rare, brief, one-time
Total25,00040,00065,000—
Section 4 · Proven models

What’s already working, and what we borrow

This roadmap does not invent anything. Each strategy comes from a program that is housing people today and has published results.

Whole-region system

Houston: The Way Home

Local agencies run as one coordinated system, with one shared list and one housing pipeline. Homelessness is down more than 60% since 2011, and 32,000+ people have been housed since 2012. In 2025, 2,135 households were housed, and 85% of people stayed housed for two years.[17]

We borrow: one regional system, a single name-by-name list, and goals reached one group at a time.

Leasing existing apartments

LA County Flexible Housing Subsidy Pool

Run with nonprofit Brilliant Corners since 2014: the County pays the rent, and Brilliant Corners finds apartments from private landlords and supports tenants. More than 12,000 people have been housed, and 92% are still housed after one year.[18]

We borrow: the fastest way to house people. No construction, just rent help in apartments that already exist.

Supportive housing, tested

Denver Supportive Housing Social Impact Bond

A randomized trial of 724 people: 81% were still housed after two years and 77% after three, with large drops in shelter stays, police contacts and arrests. Private investors put in $8.6M and were repaid based on results.[19]

We borrow: Housing First with no preconditions, and paying for results.

Buying and converting

California Homekey

The state bought motels and hotels and turned them into permanent homes. Round 1 (2020) created about 6,000 homes in roughly six months at about $148,000 each. The program has since funded about 15,000 homes.[21]

We borrow: buy existing buildings when that is cheaper and faster than building new.

Large supportive buildings

Breaking Ground (New York)

Has run supportive housing since 1991 and now operates about 4,000 homes. Its 652-home Times Square building is the largest supportive housing building in the U.S., with services on site.[22]

We borrow: larger buildings with on-site services for people with the highest needs.

Health care + housing

Colorado Coalition for the Homeless (Denver)

Its Stout Street Health Center has a full clinic (medical, mental health, dental, addiction treatment) on the lower floors and 78 supportive homes above, and serves about 14,000 patients a year across its sites.[23]

We borrow: putting a clinic in the building, paid for by health insurance.

Small modular buildings

Minneapolis Public Housing Authority + RISE Modular

84 family homes in 16 small factory-built buildings across the city, built in about 13–14 months and occupied since 2024. The housing authority reports building about a third faster than traditional construction.[24]

We borrow: many small factory-built buildings on scattered lots.

Fast modular in LA

Hilda L. Solis Care First Village

232 factory-built homes in downtown LA, from production to people moving in in about six months (2020–21), at about $246,000 each.[10]

We borrow: speed and repeatable designs.

Prevention, early results

LA County Homelessness Prevention Unit

Uses County data to find residents most likely to become homeless and reaches out first with cash and support. Of 1,498 people served, 86% kept their housing, and participants were 71% less likely to enter a shelter. A full randomized study ends in 2027.[20]

We borrow: reaching people before they lose their home.

Section 5 · How we house people

Four ways to get 65,000 homes, fastest first

Leasing existing apartments can house people this year. Converting buildings takes months, and new construction takes years. The roadmap uses all four, in that order of priority.

1 · Lease

Rent help in existing private apartments, matched by a nonprofit partner.

Model
LA County subsidy pool
Speed
Weeks
Building cost
$0
Yearly rent help
≈$21–25k/home
Homes
25,000

2 · Convert

Buy motels, hotels and older apartment buildings and turn them into permanent homes.

Model
California Homekey
Speed
6–12 months
Cost
≈$300k/home
Services
On-site or visiting
Homes
15,000

3 · Build small

Factory-built buildings of 4–20 homes on small lots across the county.

Model
MPHA + RISE; Care First Village
Speed
12–24 months
Cost
≈$450k/home
Services
Visiting case managers
Homes
15,000

4 · Build with services

Larger supportive buildings with a clinic and 24/7 staff for people with the highest needs.

Model
Breaking Ground; Stout Street
Speed
2–4 years
Cost
≈$600k/home
Services
On site, 24/7
Homes
10,000

Cost per home: real LA and California projects

Total cost per home to buy or build. The last three bars are this roadmap’s targets.

Sherman Way, LA (modular, 64 homes)
$723k
Western Landing, LA (modular, 81 homes)
$614k
Prop HHH average, LA (new construction)
$596k
Care First Village, LA (modular, 232 homes)
$246k
Homekey Round 1, statewide (conversions)
$148k
Target: build with services
$600k
Target: build small
$450k
Target: convert
$300k

Sources: LA City Controller[8]; CSH[9]; Modular Building Institute[10]; California HCD[21]. The conversion target is set well above Homekey Round 1 because building prices have risen since 2020.

Lessons from LA’s modular projects

  • Construction took about 16 months instead of 18–24, and planning took about 22 months instead of 36+.
  • Biggest risks: factories going out of business, modules damaged by rain while stored on site, and expensive insurance.
  • Savings come mostly from time and repeated designs, not from the factory alone.

CSH: 12 LA modular developments, 468 homes finished (2020–2025).[9]

Why the order matters: building all 40,000 purchased or built homes at LA’s typical ≈$600k would cost about $24B. Mixing conversions, small modular buildings and larger service buildings brings it to about $17B, and the 25,000 leased homes need no building money at all.

Section 6 · Land and approvals

Getting sites approved faster

Los Angeles has already removed many approval barriers for 100% affordable housing. The bottleneck has moved from approval to funding.

In use

City fast track (ED1)

Developers filed about 42,300 income-restricted homes and about 31,700 were approved, but only about 23% of the approved homes had building permits by mid-2026. The approvals are there; the money to build them is not.[11]

In use

Small lots and commercial corridors

State laws (SB 684, SB 1123 and AB 2011) allow small apartment buildings on small lots and affordable housing along commercial streets without rezoning, which suits the “build small” approach.

In use

Public land

County, City, Metro and school-district land offered on long, low-cost leases in exchange for permanent affordability, as the Surplus Land Act requires.

New, not yet proven

Church land (SB 4, 2023)

Lets congregations build affordable housing on their land without hearings. More than 170,000 acres statewide are eligible. LA projects are proposed (a 74-home Archdiocese project in East Hollywood and 155 homes in University Park), but none has opened yet.[12][25]

Watch

Single-family areas

The City’s fast track excludes single-family zones, and that is being challenged in court. Small-lot and corridor laws are the workaround for now.[11]

Where to start

Pilot neighborhoods

Metro LA, where unsheltered homelessness rose about 20% in 2026, and South LA, which has the most land near transit.[1]

Section 7 · Services

Housing First, services by choice

No sobriety requirements, no hoops, and eviction only as a last resort. That is the approach Denver’s trial tested and that LA County’s rent-subsidy pool uses. Services are voluntary and paid for by health and County funds, not rent.

Leased and small-building homes

  • A visiting County case manager (Intensive Case Management Services)
  • A nonprofit partner handles landlords and move-ins (Brilliant Corners model)
  • Mobile crisis teams and a 24/7 property line

Larger buildings with services

  • Front desk and staff on site 24/7
  • A clinic on site for primary care, mental health and addiction treatment (Stout Street model)
  • One case manager for every 20–25 residents

Who pays for services

  • Medi-Cal (CalAIM): help finding and keeping a home
  • Prop 1: behavioral-health housing and services
  • Measure A, through County HSH: case management and rent help
  • Federal: VA vouchers and Continuum of Care grants

Who runs what (since July 1, 2026): LA County’s new Department of Homeless Services and Housing (HSH) runs all County-funded homeless programs, with an $843M plan for 2026-27 that includes about $239M for permanent housing and 3,675 locally funded rent subsidies. LAHSA now runs the homeless count, the data system and the housing waitlist.[6]

Section 8 · Funding

The ten-year money math

LA voters have already approved more local homelessness and housing money than almost any region in the country. The task is to steer it toward permanent homes and long-term rent help, and to leverage it with state and federal dollars.

Measure A: about $1.05B a year

Half-cent countywide sales tax, collected since April 1, 2025. 2026-27 projection.[5]

$1.05B per year
Homeless services ≈$521MAffordable housing agency (LACAHSA) ≈$372MLocal programs and oversight ≈$157M

Where the money comes from

SourceAboutPays for
Measure A: County services$521M/yrCase management, rent help
Measure A: LACAHSA$372M/yrBuilding and buying homes
Measure ULA (City)$400M/yrAffordable housing and tenant protection; $1.1B collected by March 2026[7]
Prop 1: Homekey+ (state)$2.1B leftSupportive homes, including for veterans[13]
Federal housing tax credits≈40%Share of building costs
Federal vouchers (HACLA, LACDA, VA)YearlyRent help

What the 65,000 homes cost

Way of housing peopleHomesCost per homeBuilding cost
Lease existing apartments25,000$0 to build$0
Convert existing buildings15,000$300k$4.5B
Build small (modular)15,000$450k$6.75B
Build with services10,000$600k$6.0B
Total65,000$17.25B
Tax credits ≈$6.9B
Measure A + ULA ≈$5B
State ≈$2.5B
Gap ≈$2.85B
Federal housing tax credits (≈40%)Local measures, the share used for these homes over 10 yearsLA’s share of state programsStill to raise (≈$285M a year)

Closing the building gap (≈$285M/yr): philanthropy and health-system investment, as Houston and Denver used; a revolving loan fund to buy buildings quickly; lower costs through repeated modular designs; and free public land.

Yearly operating cost: rent help plus services runs about $25–35k per household a year, roughly what LA already spends on emergency rooms, jail and shelter for the same people. Paid by Measure A, federal vouchers and Medi-Cal.

Section 9 · Pilot projects

Three pilots, each copying a proven model

Each pilot is small enough to start now and is written so it can be lifted directly into a business plan or funding proposal.

Pilot 1 · Lease

100 leased apartments with rent help

Copying the LA County Flexible Housing Subsidy Pool: a nonprofit partner recruits private landlords in Metro and South LA, the County pays the rent above 30% of the tenant’s income, and a visiting case manager supports each tenant. People can move in within weeks.

100
Households
Referred from the County’s housing waitlist
≈$21k
Rent help per home/yr
Federal fair-market rent for a 1BR ($2,085/mo) minus the tenant’s share[15]
≈$2.3M
Yearly cost
Rent help plus a 10% landlord-incentive and damage fund
90%+
Target still housed at 1 year
The subsidy pool reports 92%[18]
Pilot 2 · Build small

An 8-home factory-built supportive building

Copying the Minneapolis Public Housing Authority’s small modular buildings and LA’s Care First Village: one 8-home building on a small lot or public parcel, approved under state small-lot rules. Every home is for a chronically homeless adult from the County’s waitlist, with project-based vouchers so rent never exceeds 30% of income. Services come from visiting County case managers. Repeat it on three sites, then more.

8
Homes
4 studios (≈400 sq ft) + 4 one-bedrooms (≈600 sq ft)
≈$4.0M
Total cost
About $500k per home, assuming no-cost land
≈7 mo
On-site construction
Modules are built while the foundation is poured
24 mo
Site to move-in
vs 4–6 years typical

Budget (estimate)

ItemAmount
Land (long-term lease of public parcel)$0
Construction: modular building, ≈5,600 sq ft at ≈$500/sq ft$2,800,000
Design, permits, legal, insurance, fees (≈25%)$700,000
Contingency (≈10%)$350,000
Reserves$150,000
Total$4,000,000

Who pays

SourceAmount
LACAHSA or City pass-through gap loan$1,200,000
Measure ULA or County HSH capital$800,000
Bank loan repaid from voucher rents$1,000,000
Federal Home Loan Bank grant (via member bank)$500,000
Philanthropy$500,000
Total$4,000,000

Yearly operating budget (estimate)

LinePer yearBasis
Rent from vouchers$189,5044 studios × $1,863 + 4 one-bedrooms × $2,085 per month (HUD 2026 fair-market rents)[15]
Vacancy (3%)−$5,685The waitlist keeps homes full
Operating costs−$88,000About $11,000 per home: management, repairs, insurance, utilities
Repair reserve−$4,000$500 per home
Property tax$0California exemption for nonprofit low-income housing
Net income$91,819
Loan payment ($1.0M, 6.5%, 30 years)−$75,850Coverage ratio about 1.21
Left over (to reserves)$15,969
Pilot 3 · Build with services

A 120-home supportive building with a clinic

Copying Breaking Ground’s on-site services and the Colorado Coalition’s Stout Street model of a clinic below and homes above: 70 supportive studios for adults with complex health needs and 50 affordable family homes, near Metro rail on County or Metro land. The clinic is run as a separate entity and billed to Medi-Cal, so health-care costs never put the housing at risk.

120
Homes
70 supportive studios + 50 family homes
≈$72M
Total cost
About $600k per home, including clinic space
18–24 mo
Construction
About 16 if modular
2030
Target opening
Planning 2027–28
Tax credits + bonds $30M
LACAHSA $12M
State $10M
Homekey+ $8M
Health $5M
Other $7M
Federal tax credits and tax-exempt bondsLACAHSA / ULAState Multifamily Housing ProgramProp 1 Homekey+Health system (clinic)Bank grant, philanthropy, deferred fees
Section 10 · Timeline

The roadmap, phase by phase

Phase 0 · 2026 – 2027

Set up

  • Form a coalition: County HSH, LAHSA, the City, housing nonprofits, CSH and health plans
  • Launch Pilot 1 (100 leased homes)
  • Secure sites for Pilot 2
  • Request project-based vouchers
Phase 1 · 2027 – 2029

Prove it

  • First small modular buildings open 2028–29
  • Pilot 3 funding applications
  • Veteran homelessness ended (2029)
  • Publish costs and results openly
Phase 2 · 2029 – 2032

Scale up

  • Standard building plans pre-approved
  • Multi-year factory contract so manufacturers stay stable
  • Pilot 3 opens (2030)
  • 30% fewer people becoming homeless (2031)
Phase 3 · 2032 – 2036

Finish the job

  • Chronic homelessness ended (2033)
  • No family sleeps outside (2034)
  • All 65,000 homes in place (2036)
  • Share the model with the next region

Pilot 2 schedule

WhenMilestone
Early 2027Site found; check crane and truck access for modules
Spring 2027Site lease signed; architect and modular factory chosen; voucher request sent
Summer 2027Funding applications (LACAHSA, ULA, Federal Home Loan Bank); design
Late 2027Funding awarded; permit filed; voucher commitment signed
Early 2028Financing closes; factory starts building; foundation poured
Mid 2028Modules placed and covered; finishing work; inspections
Late 2028Occupancy permit; tenants move in from the County waitlist
Section 11 · Outcomes

What we measure, and publish

Staying housed

  • 85%+ still housed at 1 year, 80%+ at 2 years (Houston: 85% at 2 years)
  • Nobody evicted back into homelessness

The race

  • People housed each month vs. people newly homeless each month
  • Days from referral to move-in: under 60

Delivery

  • Cost per home vs. target
  • Months from site to move-in
  • 100% of homes with 15-year rent help

Health

  • Emergency room visits cut in half at 1 year
  • Connected to a doctor within 30 days

Fairness

  • Results reported by race, age and disability
  • Black Angelenos are homeless at far higher rates than other residents, so their share of placements is tracked

Openness

  • Public results on this site
  • Independent yearly evaluation
Section 12 · Policy asks

Six changes that make the roadmap possible

Rent help that lasts

Restore Time-Limited Subsidy funding, and require 15-year rent or operating money for every home funded by Measure A or ULA.

Grow the rent-subsidy pool

Expand the County’s Flexible Housing Subsidy Pool, the fastest proven way to house people, toward 25,000 homes.

Fund approved projects

About 31,700 affordable homes are approved but only about 23% have permits. Create a funding round just for approved projects that are ready to build.[11]

Spend ULA on homes

Move ULA’s unspent balance into buying and building, with public reports every quarter.[7]

Protect federal Housing First funding

Defend federal homelessness grants for permanent housing. Courts blocked HUD’s 2025 cap on them, and the 2026 version is in court.[14]

Prevention as a permanent program

Grow the County’s Homelessness Prevention Unit, fund free eviction defense, and end discharges from hospitals and jails to the street.[20]

Section 13 · Risks

What could go wrong, and the plan for it

RiskLevelPlan
Federal cuts, including caps on permanent housing grants and the federal suspension of LAHSAHighLean on local and state money; follow the court cases; prioritize VA vouchers and Medi-Cal-funded services[1][14]
Rent help cut again, as in 2025-26HighThe 15-year rule; reserves; long-term vouchers instead of short-term help
Landlords unwilling to rent to subsidy tenantsMediumLandlord incentives and damage funds, and a single point of contact (the Brilliant Corners model)
Modular factory goes under; rain damages modulesMediumCheck factory finances; multi-year contracts; deliver just in time; keep a traditional-build backup[9]
Labor and cost pressure from wildfire rebuildingMediumFactory work happens off-site; repeated designs; bulk buying
Neighborhood oppositionMediumApproval paths that require no hearings; early neighbor outreach
Agency changes (LAHSA to County HSH)Low–MedAlign with HSH contracts and keep referral agreements current[6]
Appendix

Sources and figures to check

Using this page in a business plan or proposal

  • Need → Sections 1–2
  • Evidence the approach works → Section 4
  • Project → Section 9 pilot that fits
  • Budget → Section 9 tables (replace with a certified budget)
  • Timeline, outcomes, risks → Sections 10, 11, 13

Check before submitting

  • 2026 chronic homelessness count (this page uses HUD 2024)
  • HACLA and LACDA 2026 voucher payment amounts (this page uses HUD fair-market rents)
  • Current LA modular construction prices
  • Measure A and ULA 2026-27 actual amounts
  • Latest Houston and Homekey totals
  1. LAist, “LA homelessness rose in 2026, official count shows” (July 2026), reporting LAHSA’s 2026 count. laist.com
  2. FOX 11 LA, “LA homelessness rises in 2026 count” (July 24, 2026). foxla.com
  3. USC Today, “4 takeaways from the 2025 count.” today.usc.edu
  4. HUD, Point-in-Time Counts by Continuum of Care, 2024 (CA-600, NY-600, U.S.). huduser.gov
  5. LA County, Measure A overview and 2026-27 spending plan. homeless.lacounty.gov
  6. LA County, transition of homeless services to the Department of Homeless Services and Housing (July 1, 2026). homeless.lacounty.gov
  7. Commercial Observer, “L.A.’s ‘Mansion Tax’ reaches $1B in revenue” (Jan 2026). commercialobserver.com
  8. LA City Controller findings on Prop HHH costs; CAO HHH status report (Apr 2026). Controller summary · cao.lacity.gov
  9. CSH, “What five years of modular housing has taught us in Los Angeles” (June 2026). csh.org
  10. Modular Building Institute, Hilda L. Solis Care First Village. modular.org
  11. The Real Deal on ED1 (Nov 2025); Bisnow on ED1 permits (2026). therealdeal.com · bisnow.com
  12. Terner Center, Faith-Based and College Lands (2023). ternercenter.berkeley.edu
  13. Office of the Governor, Prop 1 / Homekey+ awards (May 12, 2026). gov.ca.gov
  14. NACo, federal homelessness grant (Continuum of Care) litigation updates. naco.org
  15. Kimball, Tirey & St. John, HUD 2026 Fair Market Rents (LA: studio $1,863, 1BR $2,085). kts-law.com
  16. Economic Roundtable, Where We Sleep (2009). economicrt.org
  17. Coalition for the Homeless (Houston), count results and The Way Home outcomes; Community Impact (2026). cfthhouston.org · communityimpact.com
  18. LA County, Flexible Housing Subsidy Pool and Brilliant Corners; Irvine Foundation profile (92% one-year retention). homeless.lacounty.gov · irvineawards.org
  19. Urban Institute evaluation of the Denver Supportive Housing Social Impact Bond (randomized trial). housingfinance.com · urban.org
  20. California Policy Lab, early outcomes of the LA County Homelessness Prevention Unit (2025). capolicylab.org
  21. California HCD, Homekey reports (Round 1: 6,029 homes, $148k average total cost). hcd.ca.gov · gov.ca.gov
  22. Breaking Ground, The Times Square and portfolio. breakingground.org
  23. Colorado Coalition for the Homeless, Stout Street Health Center (Colorado Health Institute; NHCHC). coloradohealthinstitute.org · nhchc.org
  24. Minneapolis Public Housing Authority, 84-home Family Housing Expansion Project. mphaonline.org
  25. LAist, LA churches and SB 4 housing. laist.com

Working draft, November 2026. Figures are the most recent public data at writing. Targets, costs and budgets are planning estimates, not commitments, awards or achievements of any organization.

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