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A ten-year plan (2027–2036) for Los Angeles County built on one question: how many homes, with rent help attached, does it take to house everyone who is homeless, and keep new people from losing their homes? Every strategy here is borrowed from a program that is already working somewhere today.
People become homeless in Los Angeles faster than the region rehouses them. The fix is to house people faster than they become homeless, which takes homes they can afford, rent help that does not run out, and prevention that keeps people from losing their homes in the first place.
About 54,000 newly homeless people sought help in a year in which the system housed 23,532. When LA cut Time-Limited Subsidies nearly in half, 5,000 fewer people got housed and the 2026 count went back up.[1]
House more people: 65,000 homes with rent help over ten years, 25,000 of them supportive housing for people who are chronically homeless. Stop new homelessness: cut the number of people becoming homeless by 30%.
The plan in one sentence: lease existing apartments now, convert buildings next and build last, attach long-term rent help to every home, and fund prevention so the people we house are not replaced by newly homeless people.
All targets on this page are planning targets for the region as a whole, not achievements or commitments of any single organization. Dollar figures are estimates for planning and must be validated with a certified budget, an architect and a contractor before use in an application.
LA County is home to about one in ten homeless people in the United States and the country’s largest unsheltered population. Two of every three homeless Angelenos sleep outside.
LA City & County, HUD 2024 Point-in-Time count, people[4]
2026 updates: family members fell 14% (11,207 → 9,638) and veterans fell from 3,050 to 2,257. LAHSA warns the family drop may reflect fewer family services rather than lower need.[1]
HUD 2024. New York’s right-to-shelter law keeps 97% of its homeless residents indoors. LA’s problem is mostly people living outside long-term, which is why supportive housing is at the center of this roadmap.[4]
| Group | What they need | Type of home | Homes by 2036 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chronically homeless adults (disabled, homeless a year or more) | A permanent home plus voluntary services | Supportive housing | 25,000 |
| Other single adults | A home with rent capped at 30% of income | Leased apartment with rent help, studios, shared housing | 22,000 |
| Families with children | 2–3 bedroom homes plus rent help | Leased or affordable family apartments | 10,000 |
| Older adults (55+) | Accessible homes on fixed incomes | Senior affordable apartments | 6,000 |
| Young adults (18–24) | Studios plus school and job support | Youth supportive housing | 2,000 |
| Total | 65,000 | ||
How we got 65,000: today’s 73,040 people, minus those expected to get back on their feet with short-term help, plus ten years of people who will still become homeless after prevention. These are planning estimates to refine with LAHSA’s name-by-name data.
The count only falls when more people move into homes than become homeless. Today Los Angeles is losing that race.
The 54,000 figure applies LAHSA’s reported ratio (about 2.3 newly homeless people seeking help for every person housed) to 23,532 housing placements. Placements fell from about 28,600 (2024) to 23,532 (2025).[1]
Funding for Time-Limited Subsidies was cut from $240M (2024-25) to $123M (2025-26). More than 3,000 households were set to lose rent help, 5,000 fewer people moved into homes, and shelters backed up because nobody could move out.[1][2]
Roadmap rule: a home only counts toward this plan if it has rent help or operating money locked in for at least 15 years.
Economic Roundtable, Where We Sleep: a study of 10,193 people in LA County (2009 dollars, so today’s costs are higher). Emergency rooms, jails and shelters cost more than a home.[16]
Why LA’s spending hasn’t solved it yet: the City’s homelessness budget grew from about $139M (2016) to nearly $1B (2026), but much of it went to shelters and outreach, which help but don’t add permanent homes. About 41% of people in the City’s Inside Safe program have returned to homelessness.[1] This roadmap puts the money into permanent homes with long-term rent help.
Groups are housed in order, starting with the ones where the tools already exist. This is the “functional zero” method used by Houston and the national Built for Zero network: homelessness becomes rare, brief and one-time, and more people are housed each month than become homeless.
2,257 veterans were homeless in 2026, down from 3,050. Federal VA vouchers already exist for them; the job is to house veterans faster than new ones become homeless.[1]
Add 25,000 supportive homes (about 2,500 a year). LA added about 3,000 in 2024, so the pace is achievable if the rent help is kept steady for ten years.[3]
Emergency rent help, free eviction defense and “no discharge to the street” from hospitals and jails, so about 16,000 fewer people a year lose their homes. LA County’s early prevention results are promising.[20]
All 65,000 homes in place. Anyone who becomes homeless is offered a home within 30 days, and nobody has to sleep outside for lack of a place to go.
| Year | Supportive homes | Other homes with rent help | Total that year | Running total | Milestone |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 1,800 | 2,500 | 4,300 | 4,300 | Start leasing apartments; first pilots in design |
| 2028 | 2,200 | 3,000 | 5,200 | 9,500 | First small modular buildings open |
| 2029 | 2,500 | 3,500 | 6,000 | 15,500 | Veteran homelessness ended |
| 2030 | 2,600 | 4,000 | 6,600 | 22,100 | Multi-year factory contract |
| 2031 | 2,700 | 4,000 | 6,700 | 28,800 | 30% fewer people becoming homeless |
| 2032 | 2,700 | 4,500 | 7,200 | 36,000 | |
| 2033 | 2,700 | 4,500 | 7,200 | 43,200 | Chronic homelessness ended |
| 2034 | 2,600 | 4,500 | 7,100 | 50,300 | No family with children sleeps outside |
| 2035 | 2,600 | 4,500 | 7,100 | 57,400 | |
| 2036 | 2,600 | 5,000 | 7,600 | 65,000 | Homelessness rare, brief, one-time |
| Total | 25,000 | 40,000 | 65,000 | — |
This roadmap does not invent anything. Each strategy comes from a program that is housing people today and has published results.
Local agencies run as one coordinated system, with one shared list and one housing pipeline. Homelessness is down more than 60% since 2011, and 32,000+ people have been housed since 2012. In 2025, 2,135 households were housed, and 85% of people stayed housed for two years.[17]
We borrow: one regional system, a single name-by-name list, and goals reached one group at a time.
Run with nonprofit Brilliant Corners since 2014: the County pays the rent, and Brilliant Corners finds apartments from private landlords and supports tenants. More than 12,000 people have been housed, and 92% are still housed after one year.[18]
We borrow: the fastest way to house people. No construction, just rent help in apartments that already exist.
A randomized trial of 724 people: 81% were still housed after two years and 77% after three, with large drops in shelter stays, police contacts and arrests. Private investors put in $8.6M and were repaid based on results.[19]
We borrow: Housing First with no preconditions, and paying for results.
The state bought motels and hotels and turned them into permanent homes. Round 1 (2020) created about 6,000 homes in roughly six months at about $148,000 each. The program has since funded about 15,000 homes.[21]
We borrow: buy existing buildings when that is cheaper and faster than building new.
Has run supportive housing since 1991 and now operates about 4,000 homes. Its 652-home Times Square building is the largest supportive housing building in the U.S., with services on site.[22]
We borrow: larger buildings with on-site services for people with the highest needs.
Its Stout Street Health Center has a full clinic (medical, mental health, dental, addiction treatment) on the lower floors and 78 supportive homes above, and serves about 14,000 patients a year across its sites.[23]
We borrow: putting a clinic in the building, paid for by health insurance.
84 family homes in 16 small factory-built buildings across the city, built in about 13–14 months and occupied since 2024. The housing authority reports building about a third faster than traditional construction.[24]
We borrow: many small factory-built buildings on scattered lots.
232 factory-built homes in downtown LA, from production to people moving in in about six months (2020–21), at about $246,000 each.[10]
We borrow: speed and repeatable designs.
Uses County data to find residents most likely to become homeless and reaches out first with cash and support. Of 1,498 people served, 86% kept their housing, and participants were 71% less likely to enter a shelter. A full randomized study ends in 2027.[20]
We borrow: reaching people before they lose their home.
Leasing existing apartments can house people this year. Converting buildings takes months, and new construction takes years. The roadmap uses all four, in that order of priority.
Rent help in existing private apartments, matched by a nonprofit partner.
Buy motels, hotels and older apartment buildings and turn them into permanent homes.
Factory-built buildings of 4–20 homes on small lots across the county.
Larger supportive buildings with a clinic and 24/7 staff for people with the highest needs.
Total cost per home to buy or build. The last three bars are this roadmap’s targets.
Sources: LA City Controller[8]; CSH[9]; Modular Building Institute[10]; California HCD[21]. The conversion target is set well above Homekey Round 1 because building prices have risen since 2020.
CSH: 12 LA modular developments, 468 homes finished (2020–2025).[9]
Why the order matters: building all 40,000 purchased or built homes at LA’s typical ≈$600k would cost about $24B. Mixing conversions, small modular buildings and larger service buildings brings it to about $17B, and the 25,000 leased homes need no building money at all.
Los Angeles has already removed many approval barriers for 100% affordable housing. The bottleneck has moved from approval to funding.
Developers filed about 42,300 income-restricted homes and about 31,700 were approved, but only about 23% of the approved homes had building permits by mid-2026. The approvals are there; the money to build them is not.[11]
State laws (SB 684, SB 1123 and AB 2011) allow small apartment buildings on small lots and affordable housing along commercial streets without rezoning, which suits the “build small” approach.
County, City, Metro and school-district land offered on long, low-cost leases in exchange for permanent affordability, as the Surplus Land Act requires.
Lets congregations build affordable housing on their land without hearings. More than 170,000 acres statewide are eligible. LA projects are proposed (a 74-home Archdiocese project in East Hollywood and 155 homes in University Park), but none has opened yet.[12][25]
The City’s fast track excludes single-family zones, and that is being challenged in court. Small-lot and corridor laws are the workaround for now.[11]
Metro LA, where unsheltered homelessness rose about 20% in 2026, and South LA, which has the most land near transit.[1]
No sobriety requirements, no hoops, and eviction only as a last resort. That is the approach Denver’s trial tested and that LA County’s rent-subsidy pool uses. Services are voluntary and paid for by health and County funds, not rent.
Who runs what (since July 1, 2026): LA County’s new Department of Homeless Services and Housing (HSH) runs all County-funded homeless programs, with an $843M plan for 2026-27 that includes about $239M for permanent housing and 3,675 locally funded rent subsidies. LAHSA now runs the homeless count, the data system and the housing waitlist.[6]
LA voters have already approved more local homelessness and housing money than almost any region in the country. The task is to steer it toward permanent homes and long-term rent help, and to leverage it with state and federal dollars.
Half-cent countywide sales tax, collected since April 1, 2025. 2026-27 projection.[5]
| Source | About | Pays for |
|---|---|---|
| Measure A: County services | $521M/yr | Case management, rent help |
| Measure A: LACAHSA | $372M/yr | Building and buying homes |
| Measure ULA (City) | $400M/yr | Affordable housing and tenant protection; $1.1B collected by March 2026[7] |
| Prop 1: Homekey+ (state) | $2.1B left | Supportive homes, including for veterans[13] |
| Federal housing tax credits | ≈40% | Share of building costs |
| Federal vouchers (HACLA, LACDA, VA) | Yearly | Rent help |
| Way of housing people | Homes | Cost per home | Building cost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lease existing apartments | 25,000 | $0 to build | $0 |
| Convert existing buildings | 15,000 | $300k | $4.5B |
| Build small (modular) | 15,000 | $450k | $6.75B |
| Build with services | 10,000 | $600k | $6.0B |
| Total | 65,000 | $17.25B |
Closing the building gap (≈$285M/yr): philanthropy and health-system investment, as Houston and Denver used; a revolving loan fund to buy buildings quickly; lower costs through repeated modular designs; and free public land.
Yearly operating cost: rent help plus services runs about $25–35k per household a year, roughly what LA already spends on emergency rooms, jail and shelter for the same people. Paid by Measure A, federal vouchers and Medi-Cal.
Each pilot is small enough to start now and is written so it can be lifted directly into a business plan or funding proposal.
Copying the LA County Flexible Housing Subsidy Pool: a nonprofit partner recruits private landlords in Metro and South LA, the County pays the rent above 30% of the tenant’s income, and a visiting case manager supports each tenant. People can move in within weeks.
Copying the Minneapolis Public Housing Authority’s small modular buildings and LA’s Care First Village: one 8-home building on a small lot or public parcel, approved under state small-lot rules. Every home is for a chronically homeless adult from the County’s waitlist, with project-based vouchers so rent never exceeds 30% of income. Services come from visiting County case managers. Repeat it on three sites, then more.
| Item | Amount |
|---|---|
| Land (long-term lease of public parcel) | $0 |
| Construction: modular building, ≈5,600 sq ft at ≈$500/sq ft | $2,800,000 |
| Design, permits, legal, insurance, fees (≈25%) | $700,000 |
| Contingency (≈10%) | $350,000 |
| Reserves | $150,000 |
| Total | $4,000,000 |
| Source | Amount |
|---|---|
| LACAHSA or City pass-through gap loan | $1,200,000 |
| Measure ULA or County HSH capital | $800,000 |
| Bank loan repaid from voucher rents | $1,000,000 |
| Federal Home Loan Bank grant (via member bank) | $500,000 |
| Philanthropy | $500,000 |
| Total | $4,000,000 |
| Line | Per year | Basis |
|---|---|---|
| Rent from vouchers | $189,504 | 4 studios × $1,863 + 4 one-bedrooms × $2,085 per month (HUD 2026 fair-market rents)[15] |
| Vacancy (3%) | −$5,685 | The waitlist keeps homes full |
| Operating costs | −$88,000 | About $11,000 per home: management, repairs, insurance, utilities |
| Repair reserve | −$4,000 | $500 per home |
| Property tax | $0 | California exemption for nonprofit low-income housing |
| Net income | $91,819 | |
| Loan payment ($1.0M, 6.5%, 30 years) | −$75,850 | Coverage ratio about 1.21 |
| Left over (to reserves) | $15,969 |
Copying Breaking Ground’s on-site services and the Colorado Coalition’s Stout Street model of a clinic below and homes above: 70 supportive studios for adults with complex health needs and 50 affordable family homes, near Metro rail on County or Metro land. The clinic is run as a separate entity and billed to Medi-Cal, so health-care costs never put the housing at risk.
| When | Milestone |
|---|---|
| Early 2027 | Site found; check crane and truck access for modules |
| Spring 2027 | Site lease signed; architect and modular factory chosen; voucher request sent |
| Summer 2027 | Funding applications (LACAHSA, ULA, Federal Home Loan Bank); design |
| Late 2027 | Funding awarded; permit filed; voucher commitment signed |
| Early 2028 | Financing closes; factory starts building; foundation poured |
| Mid 2028 | Modules placed and covered; finishing work; inspections |
| Late 2028 | Occupancy permit; tenants move in from the County waitlist |
Restore Time-Limited Subsidy funding, and require 15-year rent or operating money for every home funded by Measure A or ULA.
Expand the County’s Flexible Housing Subsidy Pool, the fastest proven way to house people, toward 25,000 homes.
About 31,700 affordable homes are approved but only about 23% have permits. Create a funding round just for approved projects that are ready to build.[11]
Move ULA’s unspent balance into buying and building, with public reports every quarter.[7]
Defend federal homelessness grants for permanent housing. Courts blocked HUD’s 2025 cap on them, and the 2026 version is in court.[14]
Grow the County’s Homelessness Prevention Unit, fund free eviction defense, and end discharges from hospitals and jails to the street.[20]
| Risk | Level | Plan |
|---|---|---|
| Federal cuts, including caps on permanent housing grants and the federal suspension of LAHSA | High | Lean on local and state money; follow the court cases; prioritize VA vouchers and Medi-Cal-funded services[1][14] |
| Rent help cut again, as in 2025-26 | High | The 15-year rule; reserves; long-term vouchers instead of short-term help |
| Landlords unwilling to rent to subsidy tenants | Medium | Landlord incentives and damage funds, and a single point of contact (the Brilliant Corners model) |
| Modular factory goes under; rain damages modules | Medium | Check factory finances; multi-year contracts; deliver just in time; keep a traditional-build backup[9] |
| Labor and cost pressure from wildfire rebuilding | Medium | Factory work happens off-site; repeated designs; bulk buying |
| Neighborhood opposition | Medium | Approval paths that require no hearings; early neighbor outreach |
| Agency changes (LAHSA to County HSH) | Low–Med | Align with HSH contracts and keep referral agreements current[6] |
Working draft, November 2026. Figures are the most recent public data at writing. Targets, costs and budgets are planning estimates, not commitments, awards or achievements of any organization.
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